Schlagwort-Archive: investment

Hochtief subdsidiary CIMIC Group signed Botswana Majwe mining joint venture

CIMIC-Group, subsidiary enterprise of Hochtief, communicates that it‘s subsidiary Thiess signed the the mining project Majwe. Thiess has an 70% interest in the 1,7 bio austr. $ joint venture with Bothakga Botswana. The project should last over 9 years. The project includes mining – services. Hochtief has an interest of 72,7% in CIMIC Group.

CIMIC Group is an highly experienced engineering-led construction, mining, services and public private partnerships leader working across the lifecycle of assets, infrastructure and resources projects.

It delivers the full spectrum of services, from feasibility, design, planning and investment; to manufacturing and construction; to operations, maintenance, upgrades and asset management; to rehabilitation and decommissioning.

And the conditions in mining sector are good and the pipeline of CIMIC Goup is full.

Profit of CIMIC Group increases by 11% to 781mio australian $, forecasting an amount between 720 and 780 mio australian $ in the last year. Revenue increased by 9%, the cashflow in operative business increased by 22%. The forecast for 2019 and 2020 is good. Woodside Energy has awarded a contract to CIMIC Group’s UGL as part of the latter’s joint venture with Cape at the Karratha gas plant in Western Australia. The contract will generate additional revenue to UGL of around $190 million and includes two further multi-year extension options. Karratha gas plant is central to Woodside’s proposed development of the Burrup Hub. The plant has a production capacity of 12,000 tonnes of domestic gas per day, with dry gas sourced from Scarborough, Browse and Pluto. The joint venture between CIMIC UGL and Cape will provide brownfields implementation services including planning and execution of work scope for mechanical, electrical and instrumentation, access, fire protection application, blasting and painting, cladding and insulation.The Karratha plant also includes five LNG processing trains, two domestic gas trains, six condensate stabilisation units and three LPG fractionation units. CIMIC UGL has provided services at Karratha since 2015.“

https://www.cimic.com.au/en

https://www.finanzen.net/nachricht/aktien/hochtief-tochter-cimic-ergattert-in-botswana-milliardenschweren-minenauftrag-7265069

Investment: The assetts of the thermal imaging camera producer, FLIR Inc., are shooting from 33,00€ to 41,00€.

Flir Systems Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and distributes thermal imaging systems, visible-light imaging systems, locator systems, measurement and diagnostic systems, and advanced threat detection systems. The products are used in industry, medical/life science, virtual and augmented reality, prosumer/entertainment, ITS/Traffic, security and surveillance, astrophotography, geo-informations-systems, people counting and tracking and case studies. The products apply to civil as to military use, are assembled in future technologies like the automatisation of vehicles and drones and can also be used by private persons with an application for the smart phones. Its automated pedestrian and animal detection alarms are very useful in cars today and will be very necessary in self driving cars.

The revenue of third quarter 2017 is up to 15% yty and the third quarter adjusted operating income is up to 14% yty.

Assetts are increasing since end of September 2017 from 33,00€ to 41,00€. At 03. of November, 8:35 o‘clock pm, the assetts are worth 40,10 increasing slightly.

With it‘s various usable cameras Flir has potential to find a big market to sell it‘s products. The assett could be a good investment.

http://www.flir.de

http://www.finanzen.net/

In Future Robots will fullfill our wildest dreams. Video Show with excerpts of Tokyo Game Show. Post will introduce robot

In Tokyo Game Show at Makuhari Event Show a druide invites the visitors.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ty1ZQ9SKiIM

The Orgtanizer of Tokyo Game Show, the Computer Entertainment Supplier’s Association (CESA), gives the visitor the choice, what is more favorable, playing with robots or with humans.

But robots will develop and learn to do many things, so we will use them at work also as privat in our private rooms.

This illustrates Sophie, a female loooking robot, which can speak and is well programmed.

But robots like this can also be self learning machines. This shows a hotel where most of the work is done by robots.

The last clip shows some things about the use of robots in future. Androids as deputy of negotiator to negotiate with partners, sex partner for fetishists or substitute for family

Some excerpts::

The next rational move is a talking, moving, responsing sex-robot.

When robots become capable, of precisely control machines and tools, my biggest concern is that people may stop make an effort. To stop make an effort would be dangerous for a persons development. I mean, it could change our values. ( Yoshiyuki Tomino – anime crator )

A fondie-robot-seal in a senior-citizens home. An old ladie playing with it: „I could fly to the sky. She makes me happy because she understands my felings.“ – (Oh yes. Life happens in the head. What a fallacy.)

Deutsche Post will apply robots next year. The robot will carry up to 150kg and will move with a speed upt to 6 km/h. It can recognize obstructions and drive over curbstones. The postman will walk in front of the robot dso it has no impact to unemplyment rates. But the time will come the robot will deliver independently. The German Post competitor Hermes has started a pilot project last year robots deliver independently. Hermes asks its customers when the package should arrive. The robot call the customer 5 minutes before he arrives. Then the robot drive to the adress and call the customer again to inform that the package could be taken by the customer. The robot Hermes use drives up to 6 km/h but can load only the mass of one bigger package.

The day both systems merge is the day we will need no more  postmans and postwomen.

Intesa Sanpaolo merged with Banca Populare di Vicenca and Veneto Banca and 17 mio € state aid

Intesa Sanpaolo is Italy‘s 4th biggest Corporate and second biggest bank. It has with 3,900 branches the largest domestic network, 13% market share and 11.1 million clients. It‘s turnover is 49.9 bio $ with a profit of 4bio$. Intesa say that it has particular strength in the wealthiest areas of Italy: strong retail presence covering more than 70% of Italian household wealth. Intensa has branches and represantative offices on every continent.

This conglomerate merges with Banca Populare di Vicenca and Veneto Banca. It pays 1€ for both banks. And that‘s not all. The Italy Government will pay 5.2bio€ Intesa process the merging with the two banks, which have many bad loans they can‘t write off without bankruptcy, so the ECB. 3900 of the 10100 employees will loose their jobs. The 5.2bio€ contain 1.2bio€ to keep jobs Intesa would also cut. 1600 of the 960 affiliates will be closed. Further the Italy government will pay Intesa 12bio€ to write down the bad loans of the two banks into a bad bank. The loss will be devided into parts for the state, the shareholders and

Intesa was dealing hard with the government of Italy, who has no choice than to underwrite that deal. A bankruptcy would lead to social disorder with many protests the government fear. And the two banks would have needed 6.4bio€ imediately to stay alive. And there were no more investors for one of the two banks. Intesa merges with the profitable part of the banks. Bad loans will be written off to bad banks.

The parlament of the EU permits the government of Italy the excemption to process the resolution of Banca Populare di Vicenca and Veneto Banca with the law of Italy. This is possible because none of the banks was relevant to the economical system of Italy. Now the Italy parlament has 60 days to ratify that agreement.

But with this procedure the tax payer will pay 17bio€ for a bailout of two banks. And this the EU wants to avoid and created the SRB. The SRB was created only for system relevant banks. Other banks should file bankrupty, so the EU parlametarians thought. Italy is the fourth biggest economy in the EU. Many banks in Italy have bad loans, so the financial system is very instable now. Italy could trigger the next financial crisis in Europe and EU. So Germany thinks about to extend the SRB to the smaller Banks. This would prevent that states spare shareholders to pay for the losses.

Now the equity holders and the holders of subordinated bonds are supposed to take the first losses. But many of the subordinated or junior bonds are sold to households and individuals. This will be pollitically very difficult for the government. But to inject state funds to soften the impact on private persons will cost hunge amounts and will be against EU rules on states aid.

The Banca Popolare di Vicenza Group was ranked eleven among the Italian banks based on total assets, Veneto Banca is a local bank. The merging of the two banks without risks brings Intensa Sanpaolo a little closer to the leading Uni Credit Group.

Banks of South Europe get status to find new investors

Nordic banks, like the banks of Norway, Denmark and Finland were long seen as a possibility to invest money with attractive profits. Since the crisis in finance sector in 2008 the banks in Europe, the nordic banks excluded, were at risk and don‘t perform very good. But now the circumstances that made the nordic banks to a secure haven for investors changes. As the banks reststructuring and bad assetts were written off the status of the south European Banks become more interesting for investors.

One example is Santander Bank. Banco Santander take over the Banco Popular Espanol SA, and will start the digital bank Openbank, where the customers will be able to do any business swith the smartphone. Openbank will have no counterbusiness. Until now Santander has the highest density of branches of european banks. This could change and this will decrease the cost ratio. Santander has a cost ratio of 57 today, the average ratio of spanish banks is 61.

Santander acts globally. The profit spread is following:
Brasil 21%
Great Britain 20%
Spain 12%
Mexico 8%
Chile 6%
USA 5%
Portugal 5%
Argentine 4%
Poland 3%
oter countries 3%
Santander Consumer Finance, total 13% 

Santander has made an takeover agreement with Citigroup for the privat customer business in 2016. Santander will also improve the assett management.

The price-earnings-ratio is 12 and the forecast of Santander is 11 for 2018. The ratio of price to assett value is 0,9, means that the value of the company is higher than the assett value. Also the dividend is with 3.6% good. That means the assett value has good reason to increase and the investor a good reason to invest.

Santander is rated by Standard and Poor‘s and Fitch

Ratingagency

Long Term

Short Term

Outlook

Standard & Poor’s

BBB+

A-2

stabil

Fitch

A-

F2

stabil

Santander has 125 million customers and 20.9 mio digital customers. 

The cost-income-ratio is 48%. With the successful implementation of Openbank this ratio will decrease.

Santander is restructured and it‘s new strategy is succesful. The deposits increased from 12 biopound sterling to 65 bio pound sterling. The loyal customers increase about 420,000 customers since 2012 and the bank trim the credit costs 25%. And teh customers of Santander are contended with their bank. In 8 of the 9 core countries the bank is under the first three of the branche of business. The chart of Santander is risen from 3.50 € to 5.93€ yty.

Santander accepts responsibility in the countries ist make business and is engaged in social projekts. The bank is engaged in 1200 Universities, supports 35.000 students with studentships, give 250.000 small credits in latin america and supports 214 schools in Brasil.

Reasons Santander has the best rank in Dow Jones Sustainability Index.

So Santander is an interesting object for investors.

https://de.finance.yahoo.com/nachrichten/banco-santander-handy-statt-bankschalter-091354676.html
http://unternehmen.santander.de/de/investor_relations/aktuelles/aktuelles.htm

Institutional Investors conference, „Value Intelligence“, discussed strategies for the future

The biggest conference in Germany for institutional investors, „Value Intelligence“, happened in Munich this week. In this conference the institutional investors inform themselves about the possibilities to make revenue in the future and form their new strategies of their investments. Part of the attendees of the value intelligence are assecurances, banks, foundations, pensionfonds, family offices and parts of the press. Referents on this event were beside others Prof. Bruce Greenwald, Columbia Business School, New York and James Montier, GMO, London. Prof. Bruce Greenwald who former predicted that the Eurozone fall into pieces said, the Euro-Zone will exists in the future. But it would be an advantage for the poorer south states to divide from the richer north. Mr Montier doesn’t see any problem that the state adopt the debts of the crisis because the state can print money. So the state has not the same constraints like companies. The state could form it’s monetary policy more freely than the private economy. And therefore the national debt will be no problem for the economy. Systemic risk only exists in the private sector. And Prof. Greenwald confirms that the debit for the creditors have been steadily decreased for the last years. For the states the decline of the debit was much more. So Japan, where the net debt is about 150% of the GDP has with a nominal rate of 0,5%, respectively 1% rate load effective, a real rate load of 1,5% of GDP. For Montier is the state debt of Japan no problem, as long the interest rate stay lowly. The national debt is more the result of the crisis than the crisis is the result of the national debt. The quantitative easing is an instrument to control the rates. It is not inevitable that quantitave easing produce inflation. In the sight of the institutional investors the central banks don’t print money. Quantitave Easing is a big programm to change long term national debt to short term reserves at the central banks and this is no process that generates inflation. The biggest problem is that there are countries which protect their industry sector. If they conserve their structure too aggressively they could face deflation and slowing growth. They are endeavoring to export their own problems and produce more financial inequalitiy.

But the central banks can steer the rates to any level they want. If investors sell their treasuries the central bank buy them. The rate does not matter about that. They only have to obey the currency.

That is a nice new doctrine. It may be right from the vantage point of the present of the instituional investors. But what about Greece, Ukraine, Italy or the USA. What about the bankrupt Cities like Detroit and states like California, the different cities and administrative districts in Amerika and Europe which are under rescue shield?

Apple deletes AMS out of the supply chain of it’s I Phones and Apple watches

Until now AMS delivered the NFC booster (Near-Field-Communication) for Apple I Phones and 12 mio Apple watches. The NFC is high tech with future potential, which is used for paying bills by Apple Pay. If you want to pay a bill, you have to move the I Phone or the Apple watch over a terminal which trigger the payment. UBS say, that AMS made 0,04 SFr per device and estimates that AMS delivered NFC boosters for 222 mio I Phones and 12 mio Apple watches. In an estimation Natixis say, that AMS wanted to make a third of it’s revenue with NFC boosters. Apple gave the new order to the Netherland Company NXP, which delivers the antenna for the Apple devices. NXP increases the efficiency of it’s antenna. With it’s new concept NXP could convince Apple. AMS which developed a similiar concept with STMicroelectronics lost the race and it’s orders.

New brew made in America: Heroin Beer

In colaboration of US and Canadian Universities scientists developed the possibility to produce heroin out of sugar and a special sort of gen manipulated yeast. The yeast have a sensor to find the Benzylisoquinoline alkaloids (BIAs) which are a diverse family of plant-specialized metabolites that include the pharmaceuticals codeine and morphine and their derivatives.  The process was invited on 18 May2015 by Nature Chemical Biology. But the process of production of that drink, called bad beer, is still too fragile, to produce large saleable amounts. But it will be competitve to the poppies and the opium made in Afghanistan and the production will be independent of the location in future. It will be interesting what pharmaceutical company will buy the license to start the production of this special yeast. Until now the most Heroin of the world is used in Europe. With this brew called „bad beer“ the next heroin wave could also happen in the USA. And the drug cartells could produce the heroin even though the Afghan farmers will earn their money with growing corn and legumes. For the USA this process have political character, because they can deprive the warlords from power in the opium producing countries. Also this brew could improve the methadon projects in Europe and the medical treatment. This project is a prototype until now. In readiness for the market there will be a billion-dollar-market waiting for it.

http://www.nature.com/nchembio/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/nchembio.1816.html<

http://www.nature.com/nchembio/journal/vaop/ncurrent/extref/nchembio.1816-S1.pdf

US tax evading prosecution: How USA classify and punish the swiss banks

The US government has charged European banks that they helped US citizens to traffic their money out of USA without paying the taxes and that way to brake the law of the USA. To divide the good from the ugly banks the USA has classified the banks into 4 categories.

Category 1 banks are charged and preliminary investigation is started.

As category 1 bank were classified

Credit Suisse ( investigation closed and 2,8mrd$ penalty paid ); Julius Bär; Basler KB; Zürcher KB; HSBC Private Bank; Pictet; Rahn und Bodmer; LLB Schweiz; Bank Hapoalim; Bank Mizahi; Bank Leumi (investigation closed, 500mio$ penalty paid); Bank Frey (penalty leads to liquidation); Neue Züricher Bank (penalty leads to liquidation); Bank Wiegelin (penalty leads to liquidation);

Category 2 banks are banks which have broken US law, but no inquiry is started

As category 2 banks are classified

Aargauer KB, BC du Jura; BC Vaudoise; Berner KB, Graubünder KB, Luzerner KB, Neuenburger KB, Nidwaldner KB, Schaffhauser KB, St Galler KB, Tessiner KB, Walliser KB, Zuger KB, Hypo lenzburg, Lombard Odier; Bank Coop; Bank Linth LLB; Banque Privee; Edmond de Rothschild; Comer Bank; EPG international; Migros Bank; PostFinance; Piguet Ballard; UBP Vallant; Deutsche Bank (Schweiz); Rothschild Bank; Coutts; BSI (case is closed with a penalty of 211 mio $ paid); Category 3 Banks are banks didn’t broke any US tax law;

Category 3 banks are banks without any charge:

As category 3 banks are classified:

Baloise Bank SoBa; Cedmbra Money Bank; Vontobel; Thurgauer KB; Freiburger KB; Raiffeisen;

Category 4 banks are local banks in Department of Justice Definition:

Appenzeller KB; AEK Bank 1826; DC Bank; Regiobank Solothum;

The following banks waive the NPA:

Acrevis Bank; Bank am Bellevued; Banque Cramer ( incl Valartis Schweiz ); Basellandschaftl KB; BC de Geneve; Benedict Hentsch & Cie; BZ Bank; Clientis; Glarner KB; Globlance; LGT Schweiz; Mirabaud; Notenstein; Obwaldner KB; Schwyzer KB; Urner KB; VP Bank (Schweiz); VZ Hoöding Barclays (Schweiz).

The banks in category 1 are prosecuted and if are guilty classified as criminal by the USA.

The banks in category 2 have to recognize, that they broke US law and sign a NPA (non persecution agreement). The NPA oblige the banks to cooperate with the US – authortiy for at least 4 years to find tax evaders and the institutions which help them to traffic their money out of the USA without paying their taxes. The banks have to sign the NPA with the Department of Justice of the USA. The advantage for the bank is that it is not classified as criminal by the USA and that they can negotiate the punishment.

The banks in category 3 and 4 are banks clean without any charges and investigations.

In face of the bankrupties of classified 1 banks it is necessary to watch the development of the prosecutions to secure the money, if banks get into troubled water.

How can an investor estimate the penalty a bank will have to pay?

The bank accounts were divided in 3 categories. Accounts which were opened bevor 2008 were punished with 20% of the capital on the account. Accounts which were opened between 2008 and February 2009 were punished wiht 30% of the capital on the account. And the accounts, which were opened after the case of UBS were punished wiht 50% of the capital of the account. Did tax evaders complain theirself the amount for that account will be subtracted from the punishment. The US authorities could only demand that the banks give them the names of their costumers if the costumers agree to that proceedure.

 

Investors have to watch USA before they invest

USA is waiting for recovery, but labormarket is slowing and the upswing of industry put on hold for the last 2 years. The quantitative easing was postponed for several quarters. Now the FED thinks about increasing the rate.

But since 2009 the stock exchange increases most if the monetary policy is liberal. China, Japan and Germany liberate their monetary policy, while USA regulate it. Also the US assetts price-earnings-ratio is very high valued. The assetts P/E was only higher 1929 and at the end of the 90’s.

The indizes are jumping from record high to record high so the sentiment of the brokers and investors is good. But there are signs which shows that the upturn turns to an end.

The US transportation services index slows since November 2014. Since March also the oilprices (WTI) increase from 45 $ to 57 $, so the possibility exists that the slump of the transportation services index find its causality in the increasing oilprices. Then the transportation services index will rise to the level of the industry production again. If this not happened, manufactures will possibly produce without orders to fill their warehouses. And that will lead to falling prices and recession. Another sign of the possibility of a downturn is the record high of 273 IPO’s in the USA, also the IPO indices are on a record high. The best sentiment for IPO’S is at the end of a boom. Then many investors have the sentiment for risky investments, and they will finance their investments with credits if they want to invest in assetts. In February 2015 the margin debt was at 465 bio $, also a record high. The lsst peaks were in March 2000 and July 2007. At boom level the carry trades are no problem, but if the rally stops and the sentiment turn bad, broker need more money from the investors. If they have no more money they have to close positions. And then the courses begin to fall. And the Dow Jones stagnates since begin of March 2015. So there is also the possibility of a fall. Investors have to watch what is going on in USA before they invest. The forecast of an upturn could be euphemistic.