Schlagwort-Archive: Trump

Sri Lanka Attacks Retaliation for Christ Church Attack

A series of eight devastating bomb blasts ripped through several luxury hotels and three churches holding Easter services in the Sri lanka cities of Colombo, Negombe and Batticaloa on Sunday, killing 321 people and wounding over 500.

The blasts hit the churches when they were full of worshippers who gathered for Easter services. Nearly all victims were Sri Lankans. Officials said the dead also included dozens of foreigners.

There were 50 killed at a shooting by an australian right wing terrorist on March of 15th 2019. A carbomb was found and controlled detonated. The security forces also found over 80 fuses.

There was no claim of responsibility, but Defence Minister Ruwan Wijewardene described the blasts as a „terrorist attack“ by religious groups.

„The preliminary investigations have revealed that what happened in Sri Lanka (on Sunday) was in retaliation for the attack against Muslims in Christchurch,“ Ruwan Wijewardene told parliament.

Two local Muslim organisation, National Thawheeth Jama’ath (NTJ) and Jammiyathul Millathu Ibrahim (JMI), has been linked to  the attacks on the Indian Ocean island which is also a highly recommended touristic target.

After the attack the government of Sri Lanka imposes a curfew and emergency law including pollarding the internet social networks like facebook, Snapchat, Viber and WhatsApp. At the last emergency law military have wide-ranged powers including the possibility to raid habits without court order and detain suspects months without charge. The government fess up, that they had indication that there was an attack planned but it wasn’t relevant enough to move.

https://www.tagesschau.de/multimedia/sendung/ts-30987.html

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/04/sri-lanka-attacks-retaliation-christchurch-deputy-minister-190423082847025.html

 

 

Griechenland und Polen diskutieren Reparationsforderungen gegen Deutschland

Griechenland verlangt Reparationszahlungen für 330.000 im 2. Weltkrieg getötete Griechen. Da staunte die Bundesregierung. Sie ist aber selbst schuld. Friedensverträge hätten schon längst ausgehandelt werden müssen. Das Kriegsende war 1945. Jetzt schreiben 2018. Das sind geschlagene 73 Jahre. Wir waren in der Lage alle möglichen Bündnisse zu vereinbaren und Verträge abzuschließen. Die Montanunion, EWG, EU, NATO, Rettungsschirme, Freihandels- und Emmissionsabkommen mit allen möglichen Staaten auf der Erde und Vereinbarungen über Entwicklungshilfe auf mindestens 3 Kontinenten.

Nur wenn es um die Friedensverträge für Deutschland ging wurden sofort alle Verhandlungen verschoben, vertagt, mittlerweile abgelehnt, weil die Wirtschaft und Politik derart verflochten sei, daß ein Kriegszustand nicht mehr gegeben sei und von Frieden ausgegangen werden könne.

Juristisch jedoch leben wir nach wie vor im Kriegszustand, vereinbart wurde nur ein Waffenstillstand, die territorrialen Ansprüche der BRD sind anerkannt. Ein Kriegszustand ist damit nach wie vor gegeben und aktiver Krieg könnte ohne weiteres durch einfachen Bruch des vereinbarten Waffenstillstands hervorgerufen werden.

Insofern hat auch das deutsche Volk ein Recht auf vereinbarten Frieden, einen aktiv bestehenden Friedensvertrag.

Meine Erfahrungen zeigen, dass derjenige, der aktiv ein Ziel anstrebt, die besten Erfolge erzielt. Auf die Friedensvereinbarungen angewendet bedeutet dies, dass die Regierungen der BRD fast ein dreiviertel Jahrhundert Zeit gehabt haben sich mit den Kriegsparteien an einen Tisch zu setzen, Friedensvereinbarungen aktiv zu anzustreben, die Siegermächte zu Verhandlungen aufzufordern, einen Friedensvertrag in den Parlamenten zu ratifizieren und damit die Reparationszahlungen selbst zu steuern. Damit wäre das Thema nachhaltig vom Tisch gewesen.

Es gab sogar eine Initiative, die sogenannten „Reichsbürger“, die nichts anderes wollten, als einen solchen Friedensvertrag und damit die juristische Anerkennung der BRD. Diese Bewegung wurde marginalisiert und anschließend kriminalisiert. Unter Obama hätte ein Friedensvertrag gute Chancen gehabt für alle Parteien, die BRD und die Siegermächte, positiv gestaltet zu werden. Aber die Regierung der BRD gab vor die Frage gestellt zur Antwort, daß ein Friedensvertrag nicht erforderlich sei.

In West-Deutschland regelte das Besatzungsstatut von 1949:

„Die Regierungen Frankreichs, der Vereinigten Staaten und des Vereinigten Königreichs wünschen und beabsichtigen, daß das deutsche Volk während des Zeitraums, in dem die Aufrechterhaltung der Besetzung als Notwendigkeit erachtet wird, das größtmögliche Maß an Selbstregierung besitzt, das mit der Besetzung vereinbar ist. Der Bundesstaat und die in ihm zusammengeschlossenen Länder sollen volle gesetzgebende, vollziehende und rechtsprechende Gewalt nach den Bestimmungen des Grundgesetzes und der Landesverfassungen besitzen und sind in der Ausübung dieser Gewalt nur den in diesem Statut vorgesehenen Beschränkungen unterworfen.“

https://www.konrad-adenauer.de/dokumente/vertraege/1949-04-08-besatzungsstatut

Bis 1990 war die Bundesrepublik Deutschland faktisch nicht vollständig souverän. Mit dem 2+4-Vertrag zur Deutschen Einheit (12.9.1990) erkannten die ehemaligen Alliierten des Zweiten Weltkriegs (Frankreich, Großbritannien, UdSSR und USA) die Bundesrepublik Deutschland völkerrechtlich an.

Der Vertrag über die abschließende Regelung in Bezug auf Deutschland legt fest:

  1. Die endgültigen mitteleuropäischen Grenzen und damit das Staatsgebiet des vereinten Deutschlands mit der Erklärung, dass Deutschland keine Gebietsansprüche an andere Staaten stellt.
  2. Die Begrenzung der Personalstärke der deutschen Streitkräfte auf 370.000 Personen mit der Erklärung, dass Deutschland auf die Herstellung, die Verfügung über und den Besitz von ABC-Waffen sowie auf das Führen von Angriffskriegen verzichtet.
  3. Eine Vereinbarung über den Abzug der sowjetischen Truppen aus Ostdeutschland bis 1994 und das Recht, Bündnissen anzugehören.

Damit wurde lediglich das neue Staatsgebiet der BRD anerkannt, der Möglichkeit der wirklichen Souveränität durch eine schlagkräfte Armee eine Absage erteilt. Die Bundesrepublik Deutschland hat sich lediglich gegenüber den Siegermächten abgesichert, dass diese das neue Staatsgebiet der Bundesrepublik Deutschland anerkennen. Dafür bestand absolute Notwendigkeit. Damit wurde höchste Kriegsgefahr abgewendet. Schließlich hätten die Russen die Wiedervereinigung als Vertragsverstoß gegen die vertraglich festgelegte alte Gebietsaufteilung Deutschlands werten und die DDR wieder zurückfordern können, auch auf militärische Art und Weise. Das Staatsgebiet der DDR stand damals vertragsrechtlich noch unter der Aufsicht von Russland.

Ein wirklich selbständiges Deutschland ist nach wie vor nicht gestattet. Und was machen die Deutschen, wenn die USA aus der NATO austritt?

Es war auch nicht die erste Erweiterung der BRD. Die Erste war im Jahr 1957, als das Saarland vertragsrechltich der Bundesrepublik Deutschland zugesprochen wurde.

Zum Staatsgebiet der Bundesrepublik Deutschland gehört auch das Küstenmeer. Die zweite war das 1982 in Kraft getretene Seerechtsübereinkommen der Vereinten Nationen. Es erlaubt jedem Vertragsstaat, die Breite seines Küstenmeeres bis zu einer Grenze von zwölf Seemeilen festzulegen.

Von dieser Möglichkeit hat die Bundesrepublik Deutschland mit der Proklamation der Bundesregierung über die Ausweitung des deutschen Küstenmeeres vom 19. Oktober 1994 (bekanntgemacht im 1994 I, 3428 ) für die Nordsee vollständig und für die Ostsee teilweise Gebrauch gemacht.

Die Grenzen zu seinen Nachbarstaaten hat die BRD durch einzelne Grenzverträge mit den Staaten geregelt.

https://www.bmi.bund.de/DE/themen/verfassung/staatliche-ordnung/staatsgebiet/staatsgebiet-node.html

Wenn Griechenland die Verhandlungen der Reparationszahlungen durchsetzt, könnten die USA im Rahmen der Fairness und Gleichbehandlung der Kriegsparteien nachziehen, zumal die USA als Siegermacht eine ganz andere Rolle spielte als Griechenland. Dann geht die größte Siegermacht auf Deutschland zu und stellt Forderungen, nicht mit einem eher wohl wollenden smarten Politiker, der sich mit der deutschen Regierung gut versteht, sondern mit einem Präsidenten, der auf eine für die USA „faire“ Behandlung achtet. Das UK ist heute nicht mehr Mitglied der EU, sondern mit der Festlegung des BREXIT bereits aus der EU ausgetreten. Dadurch, dass ein Staat innerhalb der EU, die ja Vereinigung anstrebt, Reparationen verlangt, schafft Griechenland eine Situation, die die bisherige Argumentation der deutschen Regierungen der letzten Jahrzehnte als falsch markiert. Die Staatswesen sind eben nicht durch bilaterale Verträge und der wirtschaftlichen Zusammenarbeit der Staaten selbst so verflochten, dass eine Forderung nach Reparationszahlungen unvorstellbar geworden ist. Auch die Unternehmensverflechtungen schützen offensichtlich nicht. Außerdem hat Griechenland im 2. Weltkrieg eine eher marginale Rolle gespielt. Durch das Verhalten Griechenlands könnten Staaten, die eine weit aus größere Rolle gespielt haben, die weit aus mehr verloren haben, die viel größere Schäden zu beklagen hatten, auf den Pfad geführt werden, ebenfalls mit Deutschland Verhandlungen über Reparationszahlungen zu führen. Zu diesen Staaten gehören bspw die Siegermächte Frankreich, UK und Russland, die  Auslandszahlungen sehr gut verwenden könnten. Die Siegermacht USA, hatten zwar keine Schäden im Heimatland zu verzeichnen, die von den Deutschen verursacht waren. Dennoch hatte die amerikanische Armee große Kosten zu tragen, musste sie doch um die halbe Welt fahren um in Europa aktiv werden zu können. In Europa gab es auch amerikanische Verluste, die in Rechnung gestellt werden können.

Eine Konstellation wie unter Barack Obama und Bill Clinton in Verbindung mit der Hochstimmung nach der Wiedervereinigung, der Perestroika und dem Boom durch die aufkommende Industrialisierung Chinas wird die Regierung der BRD so schnell nicht wieder vorfinden. Mit Staaten lässt sich in lang anhaltenden Boomphasen und einer Stimmung die globale Einheit favorisiert einfacher verhandeln als in Zeiten des wirtschaftlichen Abschwungs und des aufkommenden Nationalismus. Wenn Staaten in Zeiten finanzieller Not zu Reparationszahlungen auffordern, verhandeln sie zielstrebiger als in Zeiten des Überflusses.

Des weiteren überlegt die nationalkonservative Regierungspartei Recht und Gerechtigkeit (PiS) Polens seit 2017 mit Deutschland in Reparationsverhandlungen zu gehen.

Und es verjährt nichts. Wenn die Forderungen vor ein internationales Gericht kommen, dann gibt es auch das Prinzip der Staatenimmunität nicht mehr, das bisher gewirkt hat. Dann wird es für die Bundesrepublik nicht mehr ganz so einfach sein zu sagen, es ist alles erledigt.

Vielleicht erhöht es ja die Entscheidungsfreudigkeit zukünftiger Regierungen, wenn Art 59 i V m Art 65 GG in solchen Fällen Anwendung findet und die Regierung für ihr Verhalten zur Verantwortung gezogen wird.

Wikileaks founder Julian Assange under arrest

Wikileaks founder Julian Assange arrested after the government of Ecuardor had secluded the diplomatic asylum over sexual abuse in Sweden. In October 2018 the government of Ecuardor had regulated the possibilities of communication and the visitors. The reason was the disclosure of photos and videos of privat talks of the ecuardorian president Moreno, information about a purported offshore account controlled by the president’s brother. Personal photographs of Moreno lying in bed, as well as images of close family members dancing, were also leaked, further incensing him.

He harrassed his caretakers accusing them of being U.S. spies looking to exchange information on WikiLeaks in exchange for debt relief for Ecuador. His behavior became more and more erratic. The embassy members mor eand more sour. He was listening to loud music, driving scateboard at night and walking around in his underwear with no concern to others. Finally he smear his cack at the walls of the embassy showing his defiance about his caretakers.

Charity worker Jemima Khan, British-born wife of Pakistani cricketer and politician Imran and Film director Ken Loach offered to stand as surety for Mr Assange. Despite this, Mr Assange was denied bail because of potential flight risk.

India, USA versus China. Conflict or Cooperation?

China and India are emerging countries, are they?

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) defines: “emerging markets are typically countries with low to middle per capita income that have undertaken economic development and reform programs and have begun to ‘emerge’ as significant players in the global economy.”

But the IMF also acknowledges, “there are many ways to categories countries as emerging markets.” So the World Bank and the major financial institutions uses a different categorization.

What‘s left if we categorize with all the different criteria of the different financial instituts like market-oriented reforms, low to middle income, and significant players in the world economy are the following countries: Argentina, Brazil, Chile, China, Colombia, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Mexico, Pakistan, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Russia, South Africa, Thailand, Turkey, Ukraine and Vietnam.

A report from professional services giant PwC looks at which economies around the world will be the biggest and most powerful in the year2050.

10. United Kingdom — $5.369 trillion.

9. Germany — $6.138 trillion.

8. Japan — $6.779 trillion.

7. Mexico — $6.863 trillion.

6. Russia — $7.131 trillion.

5. Brazil — $7.540 trillion.

4. Indonesia — $10.502 trillion.

3. United States — $34.102 trillion.

2. India — $44.128 trillion.

1. China — $58.499 trillion.

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2017/12/these-will-be-the-most-powerful-economies-in-the-world-by-2050

Today the ranking looks like following:

1. United States Nominal GDP: $19.39 trillion 
GDP (PPP): $19.39 trillion

2. China Nominal GDP: $12.01 trillion 
GDP (PPP): $23.15 trillion

3. Japan Nominal GDP: $4.87 trillion 
GDP (PPP): $5.42 trillion

4. Germany Nominal GDP: $3.68 trillion 
GDP (PPP): $4.17 trillion

5. United Kingdom Nominal GDP: $2.62 trillion 
GDP (PPP): $2.91 trillion

6. India Nominal GDP: $2.61 trillion 
GDP (PPP): $9.45 trillion

7. France Nominal GDP: $2.58 trillion 
GDP (PPP): $2.83 trillion

8. Brazil Nominal GDP: $2.05 trillion 
GDP (PPP): $3.24 trillion

9. Italy Nominal GDP: $1.93 trillion 
GDP (PPP): $2.31 trillion

10. Canada Nominal GDP: $1.65 trillion 
GDP (PPP): $1.76 trillion

https://www.investopedia.com/insights/worlds-top-economies/

The industry nations wonder if they had to support the development of China or India. Both countries are competitors on the market in many terms. And both countries are defined to be the world leaders of tomorrow pointing the USA to rank three.

But China of today has deficits in the financial infrastructure. It‘s role in international money transactions is very small. Most transactions are going through the USA followed by UK and BRD.

So China is looking for cooperation to expand and tries to match with the rules of institutions of abroad. But China does not match the ethnical standards of the western counties and it will not do so. China is still regained by the Communist Party which provides other standards than the West. But despite this differences of opinions China is very successfull with it‘s Road and Belt Initiative and it‘s Silk Road Project. With the Silk Road Project China has installed an institution for it‘s expansive foreign policy. It spans a transport system from China to West Europe and Afrika. It includes harbours, streets, railways and airports.

And there are big transnational monetary flows between China and the USA that allows US banks to invest internationally. To break the US hegemony China founded the AIIB ( Asian Infrastructure and Investment Bank ) which connect the asian market with Europe, USA and other countries.

With the AIIB China also tries to generate demand for it‘s domestic market. In 2016 the AIIB was invested in 30 projects with an volumina of 54bio US$, most of them prefinanced with support of japanese or european banks. It has 87 members, Germany is the biggest non-asian contributor and also member of the council of management. USA tries with pressure to avert the accession of many asian states. South Korea shouldn‘t access the AIIB by the threat that the USA wouldn‘t sell them the DSI System. But the USA sold them the DSI-System despite the accession to the AIIB. Japan is not in the AIIB until today.

As China was very successfull the last decades India lost it‘s hegemony and influence in the asian region. In the 1980‘s and 1990‘s US companies and financial institutes invest in India and built IT industry and support centers in the Goa region. Many hotlines in english language the people around the world use are from india, because of India‘s relatively high education by low income.

Different from China, India opens it economy for foreign investments in 1991. In 2000 India begann to support countries in the south, even India was a developing country with low living standard and a high powerty rate. India receives foreign aid from Germany, Russia, Japan, UK and USA. India doesn‘t accept development aid from other countries like these 5 states. But the development aid India contributed to other states 10fold from 1998 until 2018 to 850mio$.

www. India.budget.gov.in

India‘s development aid includes training of professionals and stipendium programms. It built up the Panafrikan E-network satellite and fiber glass network which connects India with 15 african countries and 5 african universities.

India provides also humanitarian aid to it‘s neighbors. A special role has Afghanistan which India supports with hundreds of small projects including water supply, agriculture and health care directly in the villages, so the people can use the advantage directly in their domiciliary. The parlament was built with the help of India and the ring road, which chains afghan cities and connect Afghanistan to Iran. India needs this connection to deliver exportables to Afghanistan without driving through Pakistan. With Pakistan India has a territorial, high tension conflict in Kashmir. Therefore India has a big interest to establish the trade route with Iran. So India‘s budget for Iran is 6% of it‘s development aid to built the harbour of Chabahar. Chabahar will also be the gate to Arabia and Africa. In 2016 India delived it‘s first wheat to Afghanistan. India builts also a dam, the dam fo friendship in Afghanistan.

India also supports the afghan military. First with training of afhan soldiers in India only. Since Modi is India‘s president the restictions are not so strong and India delivers lethal weapons to Afghanistan. It hopes that it can hamper that terrorist backtracks into Afghanistan after attacks in India. Also it can threaten Pakistan from two sides.

India copies successful projects of China. It founded in 2008 the Indian Africa Forum Summit that lean on the Forum on China Africa Cooperation established successfull in 2000 by the Chinese. In 2008 the Indians found not much interest but in 2015 there were 41 head of governments. India and Japan startet the Asian-African-Growth-Corridor which is a countermodell of the Road and Belt Initiative China‘s. It spans health care systems, medicine-, agrarculture-, nutrition projects, education and training and connects the indian harbours in the indian states of Gujarat and Taminado with Dschibuti, Kenya, Tanzania and the Gulf of Bengal. India assign credits to ECOWAS countries. And the West propagates that the social standards are better than the standards of the Road an Belt Initiative.

With this projects India become direct competitor of China. Also China is interested in good infrastructure and harbours in Iran as it delivers goods to Iran and assuage it‘s need for oil.

China has big iron ore mines in Afghanistan and also a big interest in a good infrastructure und political and economic ties.

As US waiver the sanctions against India because of it‘s aid to Chabahar harbour. Afghanistan wants to start its own fleet to drive over Chabahar harbour because the route costs 50% less than the route over the harbour in Karachi.

A waiver to this Iranian port by the US administration may be claimed as a vindication of Iran President Hassan Rouhani’s determination to give the development of this port to India, and not to China.

India must pay attention to its independency and not get involved in the inimical concurrency of the USA and China with it‘s high tension military occurences in the South China Sea. With it‘s neighborhood to China and the border conflict India could become the spearhead of the USA against China.

An economical cooperation between China and India could lead to real wealth and welfare in both countries as both countries together span over 36% of the world‘s population with a high demand in both countries.

Hochtief subdsidiary CIMIC Group signed Botswana Majwe mining joint venture

CIMIC-Group, subsidiary enterprise of Hochtief, communicates that it‘s subsidiary Thiess signed the the mining project Majwe. Thiess has an 70% interest in the 1,7 bio austr. $ joint venture with Bothakga Botswana. The project should last over 9 years. The project includes mining – services. Hochtief has an interest of 72,7% in CIMIC Group.

CIMIC Group is an highly experienced engineering-led construction, mining, services and public private partnerships leader working across the lifecycle of assets, infrastructure and resources projects.

It delivers the full spectrum of services, from feasibility, design, planning and investment; to manufacturing and construction; to operations, maintenance, upgrades and asset management; to rehabilitation and decommissioning.

And the conditions in mining sector are good and the pipeline of CIMIC Goup is full.

Profit of CIMIC Group increases by 11% to 781mio australian $, forecasting an amount between 720 and 780 mio australian $ in the last year. Revenue increased by 9%, the cashflow in operative business increased by 22%. The forecast for 2019 and 2020 is good. Woodside Energy has awarded a contract to CIMIC Group’s UGL as part of the latter’s joint venture with Cape at the Karratha gas plant in Western Australia. The contract will generate additional revenue to UGL of around $190 million and includes two further multi-year extension options. Karratha gas plant is central to Woodside’s proposed development of the Burrup Hub. The plant has a production capacity of 12,000 tonnes of domestic gas per day, with dry gas sourced from Scarborough, Browse and Pluto. The joint venture between CIMIC UGL and Cape will provide brownfields implementation services including planning and execution of work scope for mechanical, electrical and instrumentation, access, fire protection application, blasting and painting, cladding and insulation.The Karratha plant also includes five LNG processing trains, two domestic gas trains, six condensate stabilisation units and three LPG fractionation units. CIMIC UGL has provided services at Karratha since 2015.“

https://www.cimic.com.au/en

https://www.finanzen.net/nachricht/aktien/hochtief-tochter-cimic-ergattert-in-botswana-milliardenschweren-minenauftrag-7265069

Cardiac pacemaker could be used to kill patients by terrorists

Cardiac pacemaker amd insulin pumps send data of the patient to the doctor. They use the net of the mobile phones to do that. But this could be very dangerous for the patient who use such devices, because the devices could be hacked. A sophisticated hacker could kill that way by influencing the devices function.

Patient should rethink to use that sort of artificial intelligence.

USA Leave The UN Human Rights Council

The USA has left human rights council an 19th, June of 2018. In the speech Nikki Haley said that there are more resolutions against Israel than against Syria, Iran and North Korea additional. This fact is not acceptabel. The exit happens while protests against US migration politics. Children where segregated from their parents if they were catched on the border entering the country with their parents illegaly.

But what is realy happening?

The USA didn‘t ratify the human rights. So the USA have the same status like Iran, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, North Korea or Somalia. Also China and India have the same status until now.

http://indicators.ohchr.org/

So in fact nothing had happen. The declaratation of Nikki Haley confirms the fact that the USA don‘t recognize the Human Right‘s Charta.

Perhaps United Nations should think about to stipulate for member states of human rights council to recognice all treaties of the human rights charta. If UN accepts only states which accepts the full Human Rights Charta UN could be aware of such „surprises“.

Some critcs say, that the behavior of the US compromise the role of the USA fighting for democracy.

Donald Trump say he protect the national security. What does he mean?

The beginning of 2018 was a bad luck for the Chinese business. Two deals were blocked by the US government. The first was the aquisition of the Moneygram of the Alibaba-subsidery Ant Financial, the second was the deal of AT&T and Huawei. Later US government announced that the telekommunicationconglomerate should totally stop the communication with the smartphone producer because national security reasons.

CFIUS is a US office that proves any acquisition o fa US company for security risks. Dealogic mentioned that CFIUS blocked nearly 30 Chinese acquisitions of US companies. CFIUS partly forbid the acquisition, partly it protract the process. That is as much as all the other G7 states blocked. But China bought 90 US companies in 2016. This is the fourfold of 2012.

The USA and the EU complain about the situation that China blocked the chinese market for acquisitions and mergings with companies abroad and the lack of protection of intellectual property, while Chinese companies are buaing companies in EU market and USA for acquiring intellectual and technology advantages for their own companies. And the trade deficit didn‘t take some out of the situation.

For the Chinese it will be no problem if the USA blocks some acquisitions, but the duties of Donald Trump force a reaction of the Chinese. There are many products the USA imports to China. So China can put duties on agricultural products or aeroplanes. Also EU is thinking about duties on US agricultural and other products. This could be very negative for US farmers. Duties on aeroplanes will be in the interest of China because Boeing could loose market shares. This would advantage the Chinese aviation industry.

But all this stuff has to pay the customers of the goods. All this duties will increase prices and this will upport inflation. Steel and aluminium prices will increase if the plants will produce steel in the USA and this will endanger the aviation industry and the automobile producer also infrastructure projects and the wall to Mexico.

But is it necessary to produce inflation?

https://www.tipp24.com/powerball?prefilled=true&platform=CARA_WEBSHOP

The US debt clock shows 212,562$ debt per citizen or 832,188$ per family, tendency is increasing steadily. Savings are 4534$ per family, means 1158$ per citizen. This is only state debt. Date is 03rd of march, 2018. As the picture below shows the USA put 78% taxes on price draw lotteries if the price will be paid immediately as one sum. This hint I found at a german powerball web site. Paying the price in 30 year rates the taxes will be 38%.

https://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/hhdc

Picture above shows that the private debt is at record high at the end o fthe 4th quarter of 2017. The Center of Microeconomic Data announced a total private debt of 13,15trio$, 473bio$ higher than the last peak in 2008, tendency is also increasing. The mortgage debt amounts 8,88 trio$ and the balances on home equity of credit ( HELOC ) declined to 444bio$. Home Equity Loan Rates

are starting at 4.5%. A home equity loan is a type of second mortgage that lets you borrow money against the value of your home.

The quarterly report aon household debt and credit shows steadily decreasing numbers of bankrupties and foreclosures, the transition in delinquency of student loans is very high steadily and of credit card debt is increasing sharply since the mid of 2017. Also the delinquency of mortgage is low, the sum o fmortgages and second mortgages could lead to a liquidity crisis like 2007.

  • Balances on home equity lines of credit (HELOC) declined again, by $4 billion and now stand at $444 billion.

If FED is raising the rates and economy is not accelerating the situation could change dramatically. Increasing prices for consumer goods will shrink the living standard of ordinary people while the rates of tjhe credits and mortgages are increasing.

US Inflation decreases dramatically from 2011 to 2015 reaching a low of -0.2% in April 2015. In 2016 and 2017 it was stagnant at 2.1 % with a forecast of 2.2% in 2018.

Current US Inflation Rates: 2008-2018

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/gdp-growth

GDP growth rate by Country

Country

Last

Previous Highest Lowest

United States

2.50

Dec/17

3.2

16.9

-10

% Quarterly

India

1.80

Dec/17

1.8

5.4

-1.7

% Quarterly

China

1.60

Dec/17

1.8

2.4

1.3

% Quarterly

Turkey

1.20

Sep/17

2.2

5.6

-5.2

% Quarterly

Mexico

0.80

Dec/17

-0.2

2.9

-5.8

% Quarterly

Netherlands

0.80

Dec/17

0.4

1.7

-3.2

% Quarterly

Spain

0.70

Dec/17

0.7

1.6

-1.6

% Quarterly

Euro Area

0.60

Dec/17

0.7

1.3

-2.9

% Quarterly

France

0.60

Dec/17

0.5

7.7

-5

% Quarterly

Germany

0.60

Dec/17

0.7

4

-4.5

% Quarterly

Switzerland

0.60

Dec/17

0.7

2.3

-1.6

% Quarterly

Australia

0.40

Dec/17

0.7

4.4

-2

% Quarterly

Canada

0.40

Dec/17

0.4

3.33

-2.3

% Quarterly

Japan

0.40

Dec/17

0.6

3.2

-4.9

% Quarterly

United Kingdom

0.40

Dec/17

0.5

5

-2.7

% Quarterly

Italy

0.30

Dec/17

0.4

6

-2.8

% Quarterly

Brazil

0.10

Dec/17

0.2

3.6

-4.1

% Quarterly

Russia

0.10

Sep/17

1

4.1

-5.4

% Quarterly

South Korea

-0.20

Dec/17

1.5

7.8

-7

% Quarterly

Indonesia

-1.70

Dec/17

3.19

4.01

-3.57

% Quarterly

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/gdp-growth

Unemployment rate in the USA chart and table

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2008 5.0 4.9 5.1 5.0 5.4 5.6 5.8 6.1 6.1 6.5 6.8 7.3
2009 7.8 8.3 8.7 9.0 9.4 9.5 9.5 9.6 9.8 10.0 9.9 9.9
2010 9.8 9.8 9.9 9.9 9.6 9.4 9.4 9.5 9.5 9.4 9.8 9.3
2011 9.1 9.0 9.0 9.1 9.0 9.1 9.0 9.0 9.0 8.8 8.6 8.5
2012 8.3 8.3 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.1 7.8 7.8 7.7 7.9
2013 8.0 7.7 7.5 7.6 7.5 7.5 7.3 7.2 7.2 7.2 6.9 6.7
2014 6.6 6.7 6.7 6.3 6.3 6.1 6.2 6.2 5.9 5.7 5.8 5.6
2015 5.7 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.5 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0
2016 4.9 4.9 5.0 5.0 4.7 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.0 4.9 4.6 4.7
2017 4.8 4.7 4.5 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1
2018 4.1 4.1

https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000

Unemployment rate was falling since 2010 and is stagnant since October 2017. Payroll employment increases by 313,000 in February; unemployment rate unchanged at 4.1%, so the Bureau of Labour Statistics on 15th of March 2018.

As the table below shows the GDP growth of the major economic countries in the world is slowly. Inflation is very low in the leading economies this could induce stagflation. Raising rates for debt without a secure economic situation could bring about liquidity crisis. Higher Inflation is a weapon against stagflation, if the inflation is based on higher demand of the people means higher wages. Inflation with low wages will bear lower demand because the people can‘t buy the things they used to buy and that means poverty and instability with debt at risk and increasing delinquency.

So, what does Pres. Donald Trump mean when he said, that he secures national security, when he put duties on steel and aluminium. What is the real condition of the economy of the USA, EU and the ehole world? Can USA deal with the private debt and mortgages?

The high tech plants the USA will built will not have this big impact on labour market as the plants had in the past.Robot technology will produce many things without human beings and will increasingly spread in the service sector. What if the labour market will turn into a low wages market while the prices in the stores increase so the people will not have the money to pay their debt?

What countries are the economic locomotives if China will find its continuous economic growth? Economics say India will follow if the production in China will be too expencive. But the production hub of China has floated the world for years and will do this also in the future. What products will be left for India? And what companies will built their plants in the USA? In India there are jobs people work for 0,30 US$ per hour. With that low wages in India the labour market in USA will be under pressure. But domestic market have to spur if the economy shold find traction.

See also:

In Future Robots will fullfill our wildest dreams. Video Show with excerpts of Tokyo Game Show. Post will introduce robot

 

Investment: The assetts of the thermal imaging camera producer, FLIR Inc., are shooting from 33,00€ to 41,00€.

Flir Systems Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and distributes thermal imaging systems, visible-light imaging systems, locator systems, measurement and diagnostic systems, and advanced threat detection systems. The products are used in industry, medical/life science, virtual and augmented reality, prosumer/entertainment, ITS/Traffic, security and surveillance, astrophotography, geo-informations-systems, people counting and tracking and case studies. The products apply to civil as to military use, are assembled in future technologies like the automatisation of vehicles and drones and can also be used by private persons with an application for the smart phones. Its automated pedestrian and animal detection alarms are very useful in cars today and will be very necessary in self driving cars.

The revenue of third quarter 2017 is up to 15% yty and the third quarter adjusted operating income is up to 14% yty.

Assetts are increasing since end of September 2017 from 33,00€ to 41,00€. At 03. of November, 8:35 o‘clock pm, the assetts are worth 40,10 increasing slightly.

With it‘s various usable cameras Flir has potential to find a big market to sell it‘s products. The assett could be a good investment.

http://www.flir.de

http://www.finanzen.net/

Baltimore makes ceasefire with organized crime

The City of Baltimore is with Chicago and Detroit on of the cities in America with the highest rate of violence. This year the number of murderings is with 206 killing suntiol now on a pace to break the record of 353 in 1993.

So the 44-year-old community mediation trainer Ericka Bridgefort and other activists decided to organize a grassroots „ceasefire“ to stop the killings, at least for 72 hours, starting at midnight on Thursday (0400 GMT on Friday) to stop the killings. The drug cartells of the city support this initiative. Ms Bridgefort lost 20 of her relatives and friends in the fight against drug gangs.

But is it not the order of the police to ensure that the people of a city are living in security?

Is it really the right way to deal ceasefires with drug gangs to make cities secure for some hours?

If this issue develope that way we should think about suppporting the way the Phillippine Präsident Duterte goes declaring war at the drug  cartells so that situations like this will not happen and stop organized crime. Organized crime is not OK. The companies, GO’s and NGO’s shouldn’t work with this mechanism. The German Agenda 2010 should be rethought, related to this issue.  As we don’t need ceasefires with drug cartells, so we should think about politics and laws which makes organized crimes unnecessary.

More Information:

In violence-plagued Baltimore, weekend ceasefire offers glimmer of hope

https://www.yahoo.com/news/violence-plagued-baltimore-weekend-ceasefire-offers-glimmer-hope-173529230.html